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Adam Wren
Adam Wren

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Geopolitics and the Prediction Problem

As a 21 year old undergraduate student I bet all the money I had saved (£400) on the Brexit referendum and won, then followed up with the 2016 Snap UK Election and won that too. Then everything on Trump in 2016. Optimistic I moved to London, self funding an M.A…

Politics

11 min read

Geopolitics and the Prediction Problem
Geopolitics and the Prediction Problem

Published in Predict

·Jul 28

What Will The Collapse Look Like?

There’s a belief, particularly among young people, that global warming, an increasingly hostile economy, resource shortages, and countless other crises are combining into a mega crisis that’s going to cause a civilisational collapse within our lifetimes. For a moment, lets leave aside the discussion of whether this is the case…

Climate Change

8 min read

What Will The Collapse Look Like?
What Will The Collapse Look Like?

Feb 29, 2020

Forget about mortality rate, this is why you should be worried about coronavirus

2022 Edit: It still gets a few hundred views a month, so it’s worth a little foreword: This was first written in January 2020 and immediately exploded. …

Coronavirus Wuhan

11 min read

Forget about the Death rate, this is why you should be worried about the coronavirus
Forget about the Death rate, this is why you should be worried about the coronavirus
Adam Wren

Adam Wren

M.A in Geopolitics, Territory and Security from King’s College London. I’m much more concerned with what’s going to happen rather than what should happen.

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